The rise of life expectancy in Europe has been a very uneven process, both in time and space. This paper aims to identify instances in which major political conditions are likely to have influenced the rise of life expectancy, focusing on formation and dissolution of states and supranational blocs and on differences between political regimes (democratic vs. authoritarian non-communist and communist rule). Data on life expectancy, cause-specific mortality and political conditions were compiled from existing data sources. Possible relations between political conditions and life expectancy were studied by direct comparisons of changes in life expectancy in countries with different political conditions but similar starting levels of life expectancy. We found that formation and dissolution of states often went together with convergence and divergence of life expectancy, respectively, and that otherwise similar countries that did or did not become part of the Soviet bloc had distinctly different life expectancy trajectories. Democratically governed states had higher life expectancies than authoritarian states throughout the 20th century. The gap narrowed between 1920 and 1960 due to rapid catching up of infectious disease control in both non-communist and communist authoritarian states. It widened again after 1960 due to earlier and more rapid progress in democratic states against cardiovascular disease, breast cancer, motor vehicle accidents and other causes of death that have become amenable to intervention. We conclude that the history of life expectancy in Europe contains many instances in which political conditions are likely to have had a temporary or more lasting impact on population health. This suggests that there is scope for further in-depth studies of the impact of specific political determinants on the development of population health in Europe.

译文

:欧洲人的预期寿命的增长在时间和空间上都是一个非常不平衡的过程。本文旨在确定哪些主要政治条件可能影响预期寿命的增长的实例,重点关注国家和超国家集团的形成和解体,以及政治制度之间的差异(民主与专制的非共产主义和共产主义统治) 。预期寿命,因特定原因造成的死亡率和政治状况的数据是从现有数据源中收集的。通过直接比较政治条件不同但预期寿命起始水平相似的国家的预期寿命变化,研究了政治条件与预期寿命之间的可能关系。我们发现,国家的形成和解体通常分别与预期寿命的趋同和分歧同时发生,否则,成年或未成为苏联集团一部分的相似国家的预期寿命轨迹截然不同。在整个20世纪,民主统治的国家的预期寿命都比专制国家高。由于非共产主义和共产主义专制国家对传染病控制的迅速追赶,这种差距在1920年至1960年之间缩小了。 1960年以后,由于民主国家在抗击心血管疾病,乳腺癌,机动车事故和其他导致死亡的原因而需要干预的较早和更迅速的进展中,该疾病再次扩大。我们得出的结论是,欧洲的预期寿命历史包含许多情况,在这些情况下,政治状况可能会对人口健康产生暂时或更持久的影响。这表明,有必要进一步深入研究特定政治决定因素对欧洲人口健康发展的影响。

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