In this paper, we examine the effects of recent parental Medicaid eligibility expansions on Medicaid participation and private insurance coverage. We present a new approach for estimating these policy effects that explicitly models the particular policy instrument over which legislators have control-income eligibility thresholds. Our approach circumvents estimation problems stemming from misclassification or measurement error. Moreover, it allows us to assess how the policy effects may vary at different initial threshold levels. Using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation, we find three main results. First, the eligibility expansions result in significant increases in Medicaid participation; a "typical" expansion increases Medicaid participation by about four percent of baseline coverage rates. Second, the participation effect is larger for lower initial thresholds and the effect decreases as Medicaid thresholds increase. Third, we find no statistically significant evidence of crowd out regardless of initial threshold level.

译文

在本文中,我们研究了最近的父母医疗补助资格扩展对医疗补助参与和私人保险范围的影响。我们提出了一种估计这些政策效果的新方法,该方法明确建模了立法者具有控制收入资格阈值的特定政策工具。我们的方法避免了由于分类错误或测量误差引起的估计问题。此外,它使我们能够评估政策效果在不同的初始阈值水平下可能会如何变化。使用收入和计划参与调查的数据,我们发现了三个主要结果。首先,资格扩展导致医疗补助参与率显着增加; “典型” 扩展使医疗补助参与率增加了基准覆盖率的4%。其次,对于较低的初始阈值,参与效果更大,并且随着医疗补助阈值的增加,效果会降低。第三,无论初始阈值水平如何,我们都没有发现排挤的统计显着证据。

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