France is located in an area with a medium to high prevalence of multiple sclerosis, where its epidemiology is not well known. We estimated the national and regional prevalence of multiple sclerosis in France on 31 October 2004 and the incidence between 31 October 2003 and 31 October 2004 based on data from the main French health insurance system: the Caisse Nationale d'Assurance Maladie des Travailleurs Salariés. The Caisse Nationale d'Assurance Maladie des Travailleurs Salariés insures 87% of the French population. We analysed geographic variations in the prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in France using the Bayesian approach. On the 31 October 2004, 49 417 people were registered with multiple sclerosis out of the 52 359 912 insured with the Caisse Nationale d'Assurance Maladie des Travailleurs Salariés. Among these, 4497 were new multiple sclerosis cases declared between 31 October 2003 and 31 October 2004. After standardization for age, total multiple sclerosis prevalence in France was 94.7 per 100,000 (94.3-95.1); 130.5 (129.8-131.2) in females and 54.8 (54.4-55.3) in males. The national incidence of multiple sclerosis between 31 October 2003 and 31 October 2004 was 7.5 per 100,000 (7.3-7.6); 10.4 (10.2-10.6) in females and 4.2 (4.0-4.3) in males. The prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis were higher in North-Eastern France, but there was no obvious North-South gradient. This study is the first performed among a representative population of France (87%) using the same method throughout. The Bayesian approach, which takes into account spatial heterogeneity among geographical units and spatial autocorrelation, did not confirm the existence of a prevalence gradient but only a higher prevalence of multiple sclerosis in North-Eastern France and a lower prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the Paris area and on the Mediterranean coast.

译文

法国位于多发性硬化症的中度至高度流行地区,其流行病学尚未广为人知。我们根据法国主要健康保险体系:法国国民健康保险组织的数据,估计了2004年10月31日法国在全国和地区的多发性硬化症患病率,以及2003年10月31日至2004年10月31日的发病率。国民储蓄担保组织向萨拉瓦列人的萨拉迪埃人提供保险,使法国人口获得87%的保险。我们使用贝叶斯方法分析了法国多发性硬化症患病率和发病率的地理差异。在2004年10月31日,有52,359,912例因凯撒国民保险(Calasse Nationale d'Assurance Maladie des TravailleursSalariés)投保的52,359,912人中,有49,417人患有多发性硬化症。其中,有4497例是在2003年10月31日至2004年10月31日之间宣布的新的多发性硬化症病例。按照年龄标准化后,法国的多发性硬化症总患病率为每10万人中94.7(94.3-95.1);女性为130.5(129.8-131.2),男性为54.8(54.4-55.3)。在2003年10月31日至2004年10月31日期间,全国多发性硬化症的发病率是每100,000例7.5(7.3-7.6);女性为10.4(10.2-10.6),男性为4.2(4.0-4.3)。法国东北部多发性硬化症的患病率和发病率较高,但没有明显的南北梯度。这项研究是在法国有代表性的人群(87%)中首次使用相同的方法进行的。贝叶斯方法考虑了地理单位之间的空间异质性和空间自相关性,并未证实存在患病率梯度,而仅证实法国东北部多发性硬化症的患病率较高,而巴黎地区的多发性硬化症的患病率较低在地中海沿岸。

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