In this study, it has been attempted to quantify model climate change effects of the coming decades on energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions of a dominant building brigade under hot and humid climates on the southern coast of Iran, based on three stations of Bushehr, Bandar Abbas and Chabahar. In this research, the Meteonorm and DesignBuilder software have been used for climate and thermal simulation of building. One of the results of this study is the increase in temperature and relative humidity for the coming decades for all three study stations. The findings of this study showed that the average annual temperature for the 2060s compared to the present decade, will increase by 2.82 °C for Bandar Abbas, by 2.79 °C for Bushehr and for Chabahar it will reach 2.14 °C. This increase in temperature has led to an increase in discomfort warmer days and a decrease in discomfort cold days. But given the climatic type of the area, a decrease in the heating energy demand for the coming decades will not have a significant effect on the pattern of energy consumption inside buildings. Because for two stations of Bandar Abbas and Chabahar, more than 95% of the energy demand for the 2060s is for cooling energy demand, which is about 80% of energy for Bushehr. In total, due to the increased demand for cooling energy in the coming decades, this will further increase carbon dioxide emissions, which is higher in Chabahar than in other study stations.

译文

:在这项研究中,根据布什尔(Bushehr)的三个观测站,试图对未来几十年气候变化对伊朗南部沿海湿热气候下一个主要建筑大队的能源需求和二氧化碳排放的模型影响进行量化,阿巴斯港(Bandar Abbas)和查巴哈尔(Chabahar)。在这项研究中,Meteonorm和DesignBuilder软件已用于建筑物的气候和热模拟。这项研究的结果之一是,所有三个研究站在未来几十年内的温度和相对湿度都将增加。这项研究的结果表明,与当前十年相比,2060年代的年均温度将使阿巴斯港的平均气温升高2.82°C,布什尔和查巴哈尔的平均气温将升高2.14°C。温度的升高导致不舒适的温暖天增加而不舒适的寒冷天减少。但是考虑到该地区的气候类型,未来几十年供暖能源需求的减少不会对建筑物内部的能源消耗方式产生重大影响。因为对于阿巴斯港(Bandar Abbas)和查巴哈尔(Chabahar)的两个站点,到2060年代,能源需求的95%以上是冷却能源需求,这大约是布什尔能源的80%。总体而言,由于未来几十年对冷却能源的需求不断增加,这将进一步增加二氧化碳排放量,查巴哈尔的二氧化碳排放量高​​于其他研究站。

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