BACKGROUND:Persons with a negative result on screening colonoscopy are recommended to repeat the procedure in 10 years. OBJECTIVE:To assess the effectiveness and costs of colonoscopy versus other rescreening strategies after an initial negative colonoscopy result. DESIGN:Microsimulation model. DATA SOURCES:Literature and data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. TARGET POPULATION:Persons aged 50 years who had no adenomas or cancer detected on screening colonoscopy. TIME HORIZON:Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE:Societal. INTERVENTION:No further screening or rescreening starting at age 60 years with colonoscopy every 10 years, annual highly sensitive guaiac fecal occult blood testing (HSFOBT), annual fecal immunochemical testing (FIT), or computed tomographic colonography (CTC) every 5 years. OUTCOME MEASURES:Lifetime cases of colorectal cancer, life expectancy, and lifetime costs per 1000 persons, assuming either perfect or imperfect adherence. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS:Rescreening with any method substantially reduced the risk for colorectal cancer compared with no further screening (range, 7.7 to 12.6 lifetime cases per 1000 persons [perfect adherence] and 17.7 to 20.9 lifetime cases per 1000 persons [imperfect adherence] vs. 31.3 lifetime cases per 1000 persons with no further screening). In both adherence scenarios, the differences in life-years across rescreening strategies were small (range, 30 893 to 30 902 life-years per 1000 persons [perfect adherence] vs. 30 865 to 30 869 life-years per 1000 persons [imperfect adherence]). Rescreening with HSFOBT, FIT, or CTC had fewer complications and was less costly than continuing colonoscopy. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS:Results were sensitive to test-specific adherence rates. LIMITATION:Data on adherence to rescreening were limited. CONCLUSION:Compared with the currently recommended strategy of continuing colonoscopy every 10 years after an initial negative examination, rescreening at age 60 years with annual HSFOBT, annual FIT, or CTC every 5 years provides approximately the same benefit in life-years with fewer complications at a lower cost. Therefore, it is reasonable to use other methods to rescreen persons with negative colonoscopy results. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE:National Cancer Institute.

译文

背景:建议对结肠镜检查结果阴性的人在10年内重复进行此程序。
目的:评估结肠镜检查结果阴性后结肠镜检查与其他重新筛查策略相比的有效性和成本。
设计:微仿真模型。
数据来源:来自监视,流行病学和最终结果程序的文献和数据。
目标人群:50岁以上未通过结肠镜检查发现腺瘤或癌症的人。
时间地平线:终生。
观点:社会。
干预:从60岁开始,每10年进行一次结肠镜检查,从60岁开始不再进行进一步的筛查或重新筛查,每年每5年进行一次高灵敏度的愈创木脂粪潜血试验(HSFOBT),年度粪便免疫化学试验(FIT)或计算机断层摄影结肠成像(CTC)。
观察指标:假设完全或不完全依从性,大肠癌的终生病例,预期寿命和每千人的终生成本。
基础病例分析结果:与不进行进一步筛查相比,任何方法的重新筛查均大大降低了结直肠癌的风险(范围:每千人7.7至12.6例终生病例[完美依从性],每千人[17.7至20.9例终生病例[不完全依从性] ]与每1000人中31.3例终生病例(无进一步筛查)相比。在这两种依从性方案中,重新筛查策略的生命年差异很小(范围为每1000人30 893至30 902生命年[完美依从]与每1000人30 865至30 869年生命[不完全依从] ])。与连续结肠镜检查相比,用HSFOBT,FIT或CTC进行重新筛查的并发症更少,成本也更低。
敏感性分析结果:结果对特定于测试的依从率敏感。
局限性:关于重新筛查的数据有限。
结论:与目前推荐的初始阴性检查后每10年继续进行结肠镜检查的策略相比,在60岁时每年进行HSFOBT,每年FIT或CTC的每5年进行一次重新筛查,可在生命年中获得大致相同的收益,并发症发生率更低较低的成本。因此,使用其他方法对结肠镜检查结果阴性的人进行重新筛查是合理的。
主要资金来源:美国国家癌症研究所。

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