This paper presents an outline of the scope for the application of decision theory to health care. Firstly, the main approaches to and assumptions of decision theory are discussed. Secondly, health care decision making is reviewed. It is noted that decision theory can be applied to either the health care professional or to the lay person. Applications of decision theory to clinical practice, to the management of care and to resourcing are considered. Thirdly, some areas which would repay further research are identified. These include social processes in individual and group decision making, the temporal distribution of outcomes and the development of techniques capable of dealing with the complex and dynamic features of decisions. On the basis of the foregoing, some conclusions are drawn.

译文

本文概述了决策理论在医疗保健中的应用范围。首先,讨论了决策理论的主要方法和假设。其次,审查医疗保健决策。应当指出,决策理论可以应用于医疗保健专业人员或非专业人士。考虑将决策理论应用于临床实践,护理管理和资源分配。第三,确定了一些值得进一步研究的领域。这些包括个人和团体决策中的社会过程,结果的时间分布以及能够处理决策的复杂和动态特征的技术的发展。在此基础上,得出了一些结论。

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