Dysregulation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis function is associated with suicidal behavior. In suicide attempters with mood disorder, the non-suppressor status in the dexamethasone suppression test (DST) is associated with suicide indicating that HPA-axis hyperactivity is a biological risk factor for suicide and may be a useful predictor. The threshold of 5 microg/dl for cortisol levels measured at 08:00 a.m. or 4:00 p.m. following dexamethasone at 11:00 p.m. to define the DTS nonsuppression was derived as being optimal for the separation of melancholia and nonmelancholic conditions rather than the prediction of suicide. A different threshold may offer a better identification of suicide. The aim of this study was to find the optimal threshold level of post DST plasma cortisol at 4 p.m. for suicide prediction using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. A cohort of 106 depressed inpatients with an index suicide attempt admitted to the department of Psychiatry at the Karolinska University Hospital between 1980 and 2000, were submitted to DST and followed up for causes of death. During the follow-up (mean 17 years), 25 suicides (24%) were identified. The ROC analysis revealed that a lower threshold of 3.3 microg/dl for the nonsuppressor status predicted 17 of 25 suicides (sensitivity of 68%) compared with 15 of 25 suicides (sensitivity 60%) with a conventional threshold of 5 microg/dl at 4:00 p.m. In male suicide attempters the lower threshold for pathological DST result (3.3 microg/dl) changed the Odds ratio from 6.7 till 18. In female suicide attempters a higher threshold (7.3 microg/dl) optimised the value of DST as a biological test for suicide prediction indicating a gender difference.

译文

:下丘脑-垂体-肾上腺(HPA)轴功能失调与自杀行为有关。在患有情绪障碍的自杀未遂者中,地塞米松抑制试验(DST)中的非抑制状态与自杀有关,表明HPA轴过度活跃是自杀的生物学危险因素,可能是有用的预测因子。在上午08:00或下午4:00测量的皮质醇水平的阈值为5 microg / dl。晚上11:00进行地塞米松治疗后定义DTS的非抑制作用是分离忧郁症和非忧郁症疾病而不是自杀预测的最佳方法。不同的阈值可以更好地识别自杀。这项研究的目的是在下午4点找到DST后血浆皮质醇的最佳阈值水平。使用接收者工作特征(ROC)分析进行自杀预测。 1980年至2000年之间,卡罗林斯卡大学医院精神病科收治的106名抑郁指数低企的住院患者被送往DST,并就其死因进行了随访。在随访期间(平均17年),确定了25例自杀(占24%)。 ROC分析显示,非抑制状态的较低阈值3.3 microg / dl预测25种自杀中的17种(敏感性为68%),而25种自杀状态中有15种自杀(敏感性60%)在4下常规阈值为5 microg / dl :00 pm在男性自杀未遂中,病理性DST结果的较低阈值(3.3 microg / dl)将比值比从6.7更改为18。在女性自杀未遂中,较高的阈值(7.3 microg / dl)优化了DST值作为自杀的生物学测试表示性别差异的预测。

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