To investigate the prognostic value of interleukin 6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) in critically ill patients during the first increase of fever, serum levels were measured in 38 patients admitted to intensive care unit of the Department of Medicine, Klinikum Grosshadern, University of Munich, immediately after increase of body temperature more than 38.3 degrees C. Ten healthy controls were also included for comparison. The onset of fever was accompanied by elevated circulating levels of all the 3 markers in comparison with healthy controls. However, only IL-6 levels were significantly higher (P < 0.05) in nonsurvivors (n = 21) compared with survivors. Sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values calculated from median levels was higher for IL-6 compared with PCT and CRP. Areas under receiver characteristic operating curves revealed the highest area under the curve for IL-6 in contrast to PCT and CRP. These data suggest that IL-6 rather than PCT or CRP may be an early predictor of mortality in patients with onset of fever and identify patients, who need intensive monitoring to initiate appropriate therapy at an early stage.

译文

为了研究白介素6 (IL-6),降钙素原 (PCT) 和C反应蛋白 (CRP) 在重症患者发热期间的预后价值,对38例重症监护室患者的血清水平进行了测量。Klinikum grossadern,慕尼黑大学,体温升高后立即超过38.3 ℃。还包括10个健康对照进行比较。与健康对照组相比,发烧的发作伴随着所有3种标志物的循环水平升高。然而,与幸存者相比,非幸存者 (n = 21) 中只有IL-6水平显着更高 (P <0.05)。IL-6的敏感性、特异性、阳性和阴性预测值均高于PCT和CRP。与PCT和CRP相比,接收器特性操作曲线下的面积显示出IL-6曲线下的最高面积。这些数据表明,IL-6而非PCT或CRP可能是发热患者死亡率的早期预测指标,并确定需要强化监测以在早期启动适当治疗的患者。

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