OBJECTIVES:The first and second demographic transitions have led to profound changes in family networks. However, the timing and extent of these transitions vary widely across contexts. We examine how common it is for contemporary older adults to lack living kin and whether such individuals are uniformly disadvantaged around the world. METHODS:Using surveys from 34 countries that together contain 69.6% of the world's population over age 50 and come from all regions of the world, we describe the prevalence and correlates of lacking immediate kin. We examine macro-level demographic indicators associated with the prevalence of kinlessness as well as micro-level associations between kinlessness and sociodemographic and health indicators. RESULTS:There is great variation in levels of kinlessness, from over 10% with neither a spouse nor a biological child in Canada, Ireland, the Netherlands, and Switzerland to levels below 2% in China and the Republic of Korea. There are strong macro-level relationships between kinlessness and lagged or contemporaneous fertility, mortality, and nuptiality measures and more marginal relationships with other demographic forces. Micro-level associations between kinlessness and respondent attributes are varied. The kinless are more likely to live alone than those with kin in all countries. In most countries, they have equivalent or worse self-rated health and lower education, although there are notable exceptions. There is substantial variation in the gender composition of the kinless population. DISCUSSION:As demographic changes affecting kinlessness continue, we expect the scale of the kinless population to grow around the world.

译文

目标:第一次和第二次人口转变导致家庭网络发生了深刻的变化。但是,这些过渡的时间和范围在不同情况下差异很大。我们研究了当代老年人缺乏亲属的情况是多么普遍,以及这些人在世界范围内是否普遍处于弱势地位。
方法:我们使用来自34个国家/地区的调查资料,这些国家/地区占世界50岁以上人口的69.6%,他们来自世界所有地区,它们描述了缺乏直系亲属的普遍程度及其相关性。我们研究了与虚假患病率相关的宏观人口统计学指标,以及虚假程度与社会人口统计学和健康指标之间的微观关联。
结果:无亲属的水平差异很大,从加拿大,爱尔兰,荷兰和瑞士的既没有配偶也没有亲生子女的比例超过10%,到中国和大韩民国的比例都低于2%。赤裸裸与生育力,死亡率和婚后状况的落后或同时代之间存在密切的宏观关系,与其他人口因素之间的边际关系更为密切。无情和被访者属性之间的微观关联是多种多样的。在所有国家中,无亲人比有亲人的人更有可能独自生活。在大多数国家中,他们的自我评估健康水平和教育水平较低甚至与之相当,但也有例外。无亲人口的性别组成存在很大差异。
讨论:随着影响无家可归的人口变化继续,我们预计无家可归人口的规模将在世界范围内增长。

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