Objective:To estimate the cumulative incidence of persistent arthralgia at 6 months from acute Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection and to evaluate the association of clinical markers with the risk of long-term arthralgia. Methods:This multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted in the Mexican state of Colima. A total of 136 individuals aged 15 years and older with serologically confirmed CHIKV infection were enrolled. Participants were interviewed at 6 months from the onset of symptoms, and self-reported persistent arthralgia (PA) was the main binary outcome. A self-report numeric rating scale (NRS) ranging from 0 to 10 was used to estimate the severity of articular pain. Results:The cumulative incidence of PA was 41.9%. Severe pain (NRS ≥ 7) presented in 36.8% of participants with PA. In multiple analysis, individuals aged 40 years and older (risk ratio (RR) = 1.60; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-2.48) and those with articular pain at 3 months post-infection (RR = 3.95; 95% CI, 1.95-8.01) had a significantly increased risk of PA at 6 months from CHIKV infection. Conclusions:To the best of our knowledge, this is first report of a CHIKV-associated long-term outcome in Mexico, where the incidence of the infection has been high. This is also the first study in Latin America evaluating several factors associated with the risk of PA. Our findings may be useful in health care settings to stratify the risk of chronic arthralgia secondary to CHIKV infection and to identify patients who would benefit clinically from early medical intervention.

译文

目的:评估急性基孔肯雅病毒(CHIKV)感染六个月后持续性关节痛的累积发生率,并评估临床标志物与长期关节痛风险之间的关系。
方法:这项多中心回顾性队列研究在墨西哥科利马州进行。共有136位年龄在15岁及以上且经血清学证实为CHIKV感染的患者入组。从出现症状开始的六个月就对参与者进行了采访,自我报告的持续性关节痛(PA)是主要的二元结局指标。使用自我报告的数字评分量表(NRS),范围从0到10,以评估关节痛的严重程度。
结果:PA的累积发生率为41.9%。严重疼痛(NRS≥7)在PA参与者中占36.8%。在多重分析中,年龄在40岁以上(风险比(RR)= 1.60; 95%置信区间(CI),1.03-2.48)以及感染后3个月时出现关节痛的患者(RR = 3.95; 95%CI) ,1.95-8.01)在CHIKV感染后6个月时患PA的风险显着增加。
结论:据我们所知,这是墨西哥CHIKV相关的长期结局的首次报道,该国的感染发生率很高。这也是拉丁美洲首次评估与PA风险相关的几个因素的研究。我们的发现可能在医疗机构中有用,以对继发于CHIKV感染的慢性关节痛的风险进行分层,并确定可从早期医疗干预中受益的患者。

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