BACKGROUND:The fourth Millennium Development Goal (MDG) calls for a two-thirds' reduction between 1990 and 2015 in deaths of children younger than five years; achieving this will require widespread use of effective interventions, especially in poor countries. We present the first report of the Child Survival Countdown, a worldwide effort to monitor coverage of key child-survival interventions in 60 countries with the world's highest numbers or rates of child mortality. METHODS:In 2005, we developed a profile for each of the 60 countries to summarise information on coverage with essential child survival interventions. The profiles also present information on demographics, nutritional status, major causes of death in children under 5 years of age, and the status of selected health policies. Progress toward the fourth MDG is summarised by comparing the average annual rate of reduction in under-5 mortality in each country with that needed to achieve the goal. The profiles also include a comparison of the proportions of children in the poorest and richest quintiles of the population who received six or more essential prevention interventions. Each country's progress (as measured by defined indicators of intervention coverage) was put into one of three groups created on the basis of international targets: "on track"; "watch and act"; and "high alert". For indicators without targets, arbitrary thresholds for high, middle, and low performance across the 60 countries were used as a basis for categorisation. FINDINGS:Only seven countries are on track to met MDG-4, 39 countries are making some progress, although they need to accelerate the speed, and 14 countries are cause for serious concern. Coverage of the key child survival interventions remains critically low, although some countries have made substantial improvements in increasing the proportion of mothers and children with access to life saving interventions by as much as ten percentage points in 2 years. Children from the poorest families were less likely than those from wealthier families to have received at least six essential prevention interventions. INTERPRETATION:Our results show that tremendous efforts are urgently needed to achieve the MDG for child survival. Profiles for each country show where efforts need to be intensified, and highlight the extent to which prevention interventions are being delivered equitably and reaching poor families. This first report also shows country-specific improvements in coverage and highlights missed opportunities. The "Countdown to 2015" will report on progress every 2 years as a strategy for increasing accountability worldwide for progress in child survival.

译文

背景:第四项千年发展目标(MDG)要求在1990年至2015年之间将五岁以下儿童的死亡人数减少三分之二;要实现这一目标,就需要广泛使用有效的干预措施,尤其是在贫穷国家。我们将提交儿童生存倒计时的第一份报告,这是一项全球性的工作,目的是监测儿童死亡率或死亡率最高的60个国家/地区中主要儿童生存干预措施的覆盖率。
方法:2005年,我们为60个国家/地区中的每个国家/地区建立了概况,以总结有关基本儿童生存干预措施覆盖面的信息。简介还提供有关人口统计学,营养状况,5岁以下儿童主要死亡原因以及某些卫生政策状况的信息。通过将每个国家5岁以下儿童死亡率的年均降低速度与实现该目标所需的速度进行比较,总结了实现第四项千年发展目标的进展。概况还包括比较接受六种或更多种基本预防干预措施的最贫穷和最富有的五分之一人口中儿童的比例。将每个国家的进展情况(按确定的干预覆盖率指标衡量)归入根据国际目标建立的三个小组之一: “观看并表演”;和“高度戒备”。对于没有指标的指标,将60个国家/地区的绩效中高,中,低水平的任意阈值用作分类的基础。
结果:只有七个国家有望实现MDG-4,尽管有39个国家需要加快速度,但仍取得了一些进展,还有14个国家引起了严重关注。关键的儿童生存干预措施的覆盖率仍然非常低,尽管一些国家在将获得救生干预措施的母亲和儿童的比例在两年内提高了十个百分点方面取得了实质性的改善。最贫穷家庭的孩子比富有家庭的孩子接受至少六项基本预防干预的可能性较小。
解释:我们的结果表明,为实现儿童生存的千年发展目标,迫切需要付出巨大的努力。每个国家的概况显示了需要加强努力的地方,并强调了公平地实施预防干预措施并惠及贫困家庭的程度。该第一份报告还显示了特定国家/地区在覆盖率方面的改进,并重点介绍了错过的机会。 “到2015年倒计时”将每两年报告进展情况,以此作为在全球范围内增加对儿童生存进展的责任感的战略。

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