This study involves the analysis of three waves of survey data about nuclear energy using a probability-based online panel of respondents in the United States. Survey waves included an initial baseline survey conducted in early 2010, a follow-up survey conducted in 2010 following the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and an additional follow-up conducted just after the 2011 Fukushima, Japan, nuclear accident. The central goal is to assess the degree to which changes in public views following an accident are contingent on individual attention and respondent predispositions. Such results would provide real-world evidence of motivated reasoning. The primary analysis focuses on the impact of Fukushima and how the impact of individual attention to energy issues is moderated by both environmental views and political ideology over time. The analysis uses both mean comparisons and multivariate statistics to test key relationships. Additional variables common in the study of emerging technologies are included in the analysis, including demographics, risk and benefit perceptions, and views about the fairness of decisionmakers in both government and the private sector.

译文

:这项研究涉及使用美国基于概率的在线受访者小组对三波有关核能的调查数据进行分析。调查波包括在2010年初进行的初始基线调查,在墨西哥湾的Deepwater Horizo​​n漏油事件之后于2010年进行的后续调查,以及在2011年日本福岛发生核事故之后进行的另一项后续调查。中心目标是评估事故发生后公众舆论的变化程度取决于个人的关注和响应者的倾向。这样的结果将提供现实世界中动机推理的证据。初步分析的重点是福岛的影响以及随着时间的流逝,环境观点和政治意识形态如何缓解个人对能源问题的关注。该分析使用均值比较和多元统计量来测试关键关系。分析中还包括了新兴技术研究中常见的其他变量,包括人口统计学,风险和收益认知以及对政府和私营部门决策者公平性的看法。

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